In November, personal housing loans stabilized and rebounded. On December 13, the central bank released financial statistics for November 2024. The financial data was generally stable and maintained strong support for the real economy. It is noteworthy that the growth rate of household loans has been rising recently, mainly because personal loans have stabilized and rebounded. From the perspective of residents' departments, the short-term and medium-and long-term loans in the first 11 months increased by 1.29 trillion yuan and 453.8 billion yuan respectively, of which the medium-and long-term loans of residents increased by 66.9 billion yuan in November, increasing for two consecutive months. With the intensive introduction and effective implementation of a package of incremental policies, social expectations and market confidence are gradually picking up. Market experts generally predict that the effective financing demand in the market will be further improved, financial resources will flow more to major strategies, key areas and weak links, and financial support for the high-quality development of the real economy will be more powerful and effective. (21 Finance)US Secretary of State Blinken visited Baghdad to discuss the Syrian issue with Iraqi Prime Minister. On December 13th, local time, US Secretary of State Blinken visited the Iraqi capital Baghdad and held talks with Iraqi Prime Minister Al-Sudani on the Syrian issue. The State Council has not announced the itinerary of Blinken's visit before. (CCTV News)Sources: Leaders of Germany, France, Poland, NATO and other countries will meet in Brussels on Wednesday to discuss Ukraine. Zelensky will also attend the Ukrainian meeting.
Faba Bank: The Fed will formulate policies in consideration of inflation risks. Economists at Faba Bank wrote that it may be difficult for Fed officials to formulate and discuss monetary policies "without being involved in the debate on President-elect Trump's potential economic policies". They expect FOMC to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, as reflected by the market. They added that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell "may use the press conference to provide options for further relaxing the suspension of monetary policy." They don't expect him to directly comment on Trump's policies, "but FOMC will formulate policies consistent with managing high inflation risks," economists said.Destiny Tech100(DXYZ), a closed-end fund associated with SpaceX, a space exploration company owned by Musk, once fell more than 10%, and the refresh date was as low as $65.28. On December 11th, the price of the fund rose to $77.35, which was 567.38% higher than the closing price on November 5th (the polling day of the US election).Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index reached its highest level in more than a week, rising by 3.1%.
The European Central Bank announced the change in the data release of the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP). The European Central Bank said that on December 5, 2024, the Management Committee approved the change in the data release of the monetary policy portfolio under the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP), because with the time to suspend reinvestment under the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP) at the end of 2024 approaching, the euro system will not be in the asset purchase program or emergency anti-epidemic for the first time since 2014. Predictable changes will ensure that the level of transparency provided by future published data remains appropriate. It is reported that the data of the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP) will be released once a month instead of once every two months to match the equivalent asset purchase program data series, and the series of historical monthly data since the launch of the program will be released. The release systems of emergency anti-epidemic bond purchase plan (PEPP) and asset purchase plan will be further aligned, including the release of retrospective and prospective redemption data of PEPP. The change will be implemented from January 8, 2025.Institution: The European Central Bank is paying attention to the weakness of the euro. The European Central Bank said yesterday that inflation is slowing down and hinted that it will cut interest rates again. However, Joost Van Leenders, an analyst at Van Lanschot kemen, said in a report that the European Central Bank will pay close attention to the recent weakness of the euro. As the import price rises, a weak currency may push up inflation. The senior investment strategist said that since the current deposit interest rate in the euro zone is 3% and the neutral interest rate is around 2%, the European Central Bank will cut interest rates at least four times. However, European Central Bank President Lagarde stressed that the inflation risk is two-sided.ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14